Communique at the end of a one-day workshop for the stakeholders in the Nigerian capital market with the theme ‘‘May 2015 and Beyond: Equity Investment Made Easy’’
1.The workshoporganised
by INVEST DATA CONSULTING LIMITED
Drew participants from across the country. Papers on
various issues affecting the market and the economic were presented at the
workshop by Seasoned Professionals and Stock Market Experts including
The Managing Director of APT Securities and Fund Limited (ALHAJI KASIMU GARUBA KURFI). The Managing
Director of Data Trust Consulting Limited and publisher of Stock Market Guide (MR MIKEUZOR). The Head of Capital Market
TRW Stockbroker Limited (MR ABDUL RASHEED), represented by
MrTaiwoMegbopeand the Chief Research Officer of InvestDataConsulting limited
(MR AMBROSE OMORDION)
1. The resource persons
discussed Nigeria's post-election economy as this would affect investment. They
also shed light on other issues such as strategies for better returns in the
market, managing risk, sectorial analysis, application of technical analysis in
equity trading and approaches to choosing quality companies toinvest in, among
others.
2.
In his paper, the Managing Director of Data Trust Consulting Limited, Mr.MikeUzor, noted that Nigeria's post-election
economy requires a major stimulatory policy framework to set in motion a
curative turnaround process for the nation's industrial sector to operate
optimally.
3.
On his part, the Managing Director of APT Securities and Fund Limited, AlhajiKasimuKurfi, highlighted the
importance of adopting a new strategy in the new dispensation, as economic
policies would drive some key sectors. He said the main pillars of investment
strategies for better returns in the market to include, asset allocation,
diversification and balance between reward and risk. He underscored the need
for investors and traders to understand basic investment data, financial
reports, earning yields and market timing among other factors that could help
them identify opportunities and take positions for success.
4.
In his contribution, the Chief Research Officer of Invest Data Consulting
Limited and organiser of the workshop, Mr.
Ambrose Omordion, said much is not expected to change in the new political
dispensation as the economic structure would likely remain the same. Speaking
on the post-electioneconomy and five time tested approaches to choosing quality
companies for investment in the Nigerian stock exchange, he however noted that
reforms and commitment to drive the change concept of the incoming government
should give investors and listed companies positive expectations as the
government rolls out policies and strategies to reposition the economy. He
expects many new windows of opportunity that would attract capital inflows, as
a new market springs up for local and international investors. He also said
that after identifying a quality company you need technical analysis to know
the right price to buy and sell.
Mr.Omordion,
also expect the new administration to continue with the ongoing economic
diversification programme, to create new sources of revenue for government to
deliver on their campaign promises of improving the living conditions of the
citizens. He urged the investing public to utilise the opportunities that would
be created by the transition in government for investors to grow their
portfolios and recoup past losses. He decried the current situation whereby the
country's revenue streams are dwindling, leaving the government with limited
options as regards implementation of major stimulatory policies required to
recover the lost momentum.Uzor
however called for a monetary policy solution, by way of cutting interest rate
to empower both producers and consumers in the country.
5.
Speaking on the topic: "Managing risk of when to buy or sell stocks using
technical analysis,"MrTaiwoMegbope
urged investors and traders to always define the purpose of their investment to
help them assess the inherent risk and potential
rewards, as well as which stocks to buy and the proper time to do so. He
recommended the use of effective technical tools such as RSI, MACD and volume
for analysis.
Post-election economic
recovery: Policy environment for rebuilding lost momentum
§ The economy needs critical actions to be taken in
two fronts- dealing with the effect of the decline and activating the forces of
a new growth.
§ We discover that it is far easier for an economy to
lose growth momentum than regain or accelerate it, because a good part of
capital has left the Nigerian economy for safety elsewhere. This is not going
to return, at least, for a while and many businesses have shutdown, or at best,
scaled down their operations during the decline.
§ Economic policies work more effectively and much
faster if they are preventive, rather than curative. It takes a lot of curative
policies to correct than prevent.
§ The various stimulatory packages that governments
around the world applied to deal with the 2007/2008 financial crisis followed
the preventive approach.
§ To ensure that industrial engines keep running and
men are retained on their jobs is the reason why the US is yet to end its
monetary policy easing.
§ The British government took the same step by
providing banks with new money at very low interest rates to keep up the production
and consumption functions.
§ An injury on the economy, like one on the human
body, may heal by itself if untreated, but if it does, it sets the economy well
below its previous operating capacity and momentum.
§ A monetary policy solution however appears appropriate
by way of cutting interest rates to empower both producers and consumers.
§ The economy has suffered a lot of interest rate
shocks since the last financial crisis and it has become necessary to retrace
the steps.
§ The ability to consume what our industries and
businesses produce has dropped and this has serious implications for sales
revenue growth of companies.
§ Policy makers are looking at macroeconomic numbers,
there is a grass-roots deterioration of consumer capacity, which is the
critical factor for corporate performance.
Investors looking at Nigeria
as investment destination are in the right direction as huge potentials unfold
in the new dispensation.
Ambrose
Omordion
Chief
Research Officer
Investdata
Consulting Limited.
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