Strong Investment Ratios, Juicier Reward For Shareholders
CCNN: Strong Investment Ratios, Juicier Reward For
Shareholders
Company: Cement Company of Northern Nigeria (CCNN)
Rating: Buy
Current Market Price: N19.65
Intrinsic Value: N25.17
By: Jeariogbe Tunde Segun (Equity Analyst)
Key
Financial Tickers:
·
Our
analysis is chiefly based on the financial performance of CCNN by the full-year
2017 performance statistics. Although, comparisons were made Quarter-on-Quarter
to establish growth and sustainability of improved performance and to also
project the firm’s income expectations for the first quarter of 2018.
·
According
to information contained in the released financial report under review, the
management of CCNN proposed N1.25 cash dividend for the reported year (an
improvement over the no cash dividend of 2016). In fact, the last time the
directors paid a dividend was the N0.10 of 2015 financial year.
·
Details
of the said dividend was not readily available as at the time of compiling this
report.
·
Meanwhile,
the said cash dividend is 48.72% of the company’s earnings for the year.
Bourse
|
Nigerian Stock Exchange
|
Code Name
|
C C N N
|
Market Classification
|
Main Board
|
Nature of Business
|
Cement Manufacturing & Marketing
|
Date of Incorporation
|
August 15th 1962
|
Date Listed
|
October 4th 1993
|
End of Accounting Year
|
31st December
|
Website
|
|
Registrar
|
AFRICA PRUDENTIAL REGISTRARS PLC
|
Auditor
|
Gbenga Badejo & Co.
|
EPS (MRQ)
|
2.57
|
INTRISINC VALUE
|
25.17
|
Share Price (N)
|
19.65
|
Share Outstanding
|
1,256,598,864
|
Market Capitalisation
|
24,692,167,678
|
The Strength
·
The company operates in a sector with huge
growth potentials. The infrastructure gap in the country is evident in the poor
road network, insufficient housing units for the rapidly growing population and
inadequate infrastructure. The abundance of the sector’s primary raw material
(lime stone) in the country is equally a major incentive.
·
Strong presence in the North Western space: If
CCNN continues to consolidate on its near monopolistic advantage in Nigeria’s
North West geo-political zone, without playing for size with its bigger
competitors, then its revenue is sustainable. Please note that the company’s
revenue growth has been estimated at 11.47%.
Corporate
Figures
·
It
is indeed an impressive performance over the released figures for the full year
ended 31st December, 2016.
·
Sales
figure improved by 39.05% from the N2.463 billion in 2016 to N3.133 billion in
the year under review.
·
Operating
profit soared above previous year by 133.98% from N4.226 billion to N14.087
billion. Further impacting this figure was the appreciable adjustment in the
Cost of Sales (CoS) Ratio. The company spent 61.17% of its sales as CoS, an
improvement from the 72.06% of 2016.
·
Operating
Expenses Ratio on the other hand grew above the previous year’s. Please note
that the Opex to Sales ratio of CCNN increased to 17.77% from 72.06%.
·
Both
Profit before and after Tax grew outstandingly by 141.49% and 157.13% respectively.
Cement Company of Northern Nigeria (CCNN)
|
|||
Financial
Positions
|
2017(000)
|
2016(000)
|
%CHG
|
Cash and Cash
Equivalence
|
3,133,663
|
2,463,485
|
27.20
|
Sales
|
19,588,260
|
14,087,553
|
39.05
|
EBIT
|
4,226,852
|
1,806,500
|
133.98
|
PBT
|
4,203,153
|
1,740,522
|
141.49
|
PAT
|
3,223,853
|
1,253,805
|
157.13
|
Total
Comp. Income
|
2,918,934
|
1,474,171
|
98.01
|
Retained
Earnings
|
10,173,690
|
6,949,836
|
46.39
|
Non
Current Assets
|
12,325,166
|
10,531,183
|
17.03
|
Current
Assets
|
12,323,509
|
9,499,038
|
29.73
|
Total
Assets
|
24,648,675
|
20,030,222
|
23.06
|
Non
Current Liabilities
|
3,070,514
|
3,034,968
|
1.17
|
Current
Liabilities
|
7,165,954
|
5,501,981
|
30.24
|
Total
Liabilities
|
10,236,469
|
8,536,950
|
19.91
|
Net Assets
|
14,412,206
|
11,493,271
|
25.40
|
Liquidity/Risk
Ratios
·
CCNN’s
Debt to Equity looks cool at 4.4%, far below the industry average of 17.25%. Nevertheless,
the management can still do with more debt to finance activities, a situation
that will help achieve and even outperform its sustainable growth rate.
·
The
Current Ratio is equally acceptable at 1.76x, though the index is below the
industrial average.
·
The
beta value is estimated at 1.72, well above the industry average of 1.43, which
confirms the activeness and liquidity of its shares on the floor of the
exchange. Working with the industry average, we can safely confirm that it is
far more active than industry peers.
·
At
Interest Coverage of 1.63x the firm holds enough muscle to push through its
finance expenses. Nevertheless, judging by the industrial average, few of its
industry peers are stronger in this regard.
Liquidity/Risk Ratios
|
CCNN
|
Industry
|
%CHG
|
Debt to
Equity Ratio
|
4.40%
|
17.25%
|
-74.49
|
Current
Ratio
|
1.76
|
2.36
|
-25.42
|
Beta
|
1.72
|
1.43
|
20.28
|
Interest
Coverage
|
1.63
|
23.08
|
-92.94
|
Profitability
Ratios
·
Typical
of its industry, CoS margin is measured at 61.17%, lower than the 2016
estimate.
·
Both
Profit before and after tax margins are fair at 21.46% and 16.46% respectively,
especially since this ratio are an improvement over the previous year’s.
·
Compared
to prior year, Return on Average Equities and Assets doubled at 22.37% and
13.08% respectively.
Profitability Ratios
|
2017
|
2016
|
%CHG
|
Cost of
Sales Margin
|
61.17%
|
72.06%
|
-15.10
|
PBT Margin
|
21.46%
|
12.36%
|
73.67
|
Profit
Margin
|
16.46%
|
8.90%
|
84.92
|
RoAE
|
22.37%
|
10.91%
|
105.05
|
RoAA
|
13.08%
|
6.26%
|
108.95
|
Efficiency
Ratios
·
Generally,
the management of CCNN could be rated high considering the impressive ratios
estimated from its financials below.
·
Total
Assets Turnover increased to 79.47% from 70.33% last year
·
The
Turnover figure replicated what Equity 1.36x above 1.23x achieved last year
·
Meanwhile,
it was also established that the Total Assets of the firm can replicate the
Equity’s 1.71x, slightly below the 1.74x achieved in the comparable year of
2016.
Efficiency Ratio
|
2017
|
2016
|
%CHG
|
Total
Asset Turnover
|
79.47%
|
70.33%
|
12.99
|
Equity
Turnover
|
1.36
|
1.23
|
10.89
|
Equity
Multiplier
|
1.71
|
1.74
|
-1.87
|
Fixed
Asset Turnover
|
1.59
|
1.34
|
18.81
|
Investment
Ratios
·
Growing
by 157.13% over the 2016 estimate, the amount earned during the one-year
financial operation (2017) of CCNN is currently N2.57 as against N1.00.
·
Similarly,
the Total Comprehensive Income per unit of CCNN soared by 132.81% as it moved
to N2.32 from N1.00
·
Despite
the strong positive revaluation by investors before the release of this result,
the said earnings yielded 13.68% of the current market price of N18.75 (as at
the released date), although this is a lower yield when compared to the 21.23%
achieved last year when the price was N4.70
·
It
should be noted however that the equity is currently trading at 17.32% above
its Book Value of N11.47
·
The
N1.25 cash dividend declared is 48.72% of the amount earned per share during
the 2017 financial year, hence we have estimated CCNN’s Sustainable Growth Rate
(SGR) at 11.47%.
Investment Ratios
|
2017
|
2016
|
%CHG
|
EPS
|
2.57
|
1.00
|
157.13
|
TCIP/SHARE
|
2.32
|
1.00
|
132.81
|
Earnings
Yield
|
13.68%
|
21.23%
|
-35.55
|
P/E-RATIO
|
7.31
|
4.71
|
55.15
|
P/BV
|
1.6348
|
0.5139
|
218.14
|
BVPS
|
11.47
|
9.15
|
25.40
|
Opex
Margin
|
16.46%
|
0.09
|
84.92
|
DIVIDEND
DETAILS
|
|||
Dividend/Share
(N)
|
1.25
|
-
|
#DIV/0!
|
Payout
Ratio
|
48.72%
|
0.00%
|
#DIV/0!
|
Sustainable
Growth Rate
|
11.47%
|
10.91%
|
5.14%
|
Valuation/Recommendation
Our valuation explored the constant
perpetual growth rate model where we discounted by 11.4% using the sustainable
growth rate of 11.47%, we arrived at an intrinsic value of N25.17 for each unit
of CCNN.
On the strength of the above and
other strong improvements established through the financials of CCNN, we rate
the stock a Buy.
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