MARKET UPDATE FOR AUGUST 2, 2017
NSEASI DAILY TIME FRAME MOVEMENT
Nigeria's stock market indices had an
interesting midweek trading session to continue its volatility after opening to
the downside, coming up strongly by the afternoon to an intraday high of
36,905.06bp From that point they had a nice and long serve back, taking back
the majority of the pullback, following which the session ended positive to
consolidate gains recorded beginning from the first trading day of the month,
as value investing on the strength of the Q2 numbers remains one of the factors
to drive market in August.
The manufacturing sector's Purchasing
Managers' Index (PMI) for the past four months has been stable in its expansion
trend to close July at 56.3, from 55.9 in previous month, indicating
improvements in the nation's production capacity. Nigeria was not alone, as
global manufacturing activities grew for a 17th consecutive month in
July, up 0.10 point to 52.7, according to JP Morgan-IHS manufacturing purchasing
managers' index. This means that Nigerian has joined the world's improving
manufacturing sector again to support the positive economic data that further
confirms that the economy is fast recovering from recession.
Back home, Wednesday’s volume traded
index was 0.73; with buying position of 100% and selling volume, 0% of total
transaction.
The demand pattern for blue-chip stocks
during the earnings reporting season and after indicates value positioning
among market players as the recent corporate earnings, which has supported the
bright picture of economic growth. This
is provided that the government
judiciously implements the 2017 budget to hasten the economic recovery process
and then move it to growth stage. In the process, it will support the economy
and market fundamentals to drive consumer confidence and stock prices, especially given that many of
the stocks traded on the exchange are still undervalued. While few others are
entering the overpriced region, they continue to ride on the recent bull-run,
even asthey still have strong intrinsic fundamentals.
Meanwhile, at the close of trading, the benchmark NSE All-Share Index gained
184.44 basis points to close at 36,905.06 after touching a low of 36,252.17 from
an opening figure of 36,720.62 points, which represented a 0.50% growth. Volume
traded for the day was lower than previous sessions, even as market capitalisation
went up by N64.38bn to close at N12.72tr,
from the opening value of N12.66tr, also representing a 0.50% value gain in
investors portfolios.
Price appreciation in the share prices of Lafarge Africa, Guinness, Flour Mills, NB,
Stanbic IBTC, Zenith Bank, Dangote Sugar, UBA, Forte Oil, Oando, Nestle and
Guaranty Trust Bank boosted the All-Share index year-to-date returns to 37.32%.
Also, market capitalisation over the same period improved by N3.47tr, representing
a 37.56% growth on the year’s opening value.
Market breadth for day remained positive as the number of advancers
outpaced decliners in the ratio of 31:17
on a low volume of trades to extend the two-day
up market. Trading activities in terms of volume and value were downby 70.46%
and 95.98% respectively at 251.01m shares worth N3.78bn, from the previous
day’s 874.61m units valued at N94.05bn.
Transactions in the shares of Transcorp, Fidelity Bank, FBNH, Zenith
Bank and Guaranty Trust Bank topped the volume chart to close the session.
At the end of trading activities also, C & I Leasing topped the
advancers’ log, gaining 10.00% to close at N0.88 each on market forces. It was
followed by Lafarge Africa with a 5.00% gain to close at N57.75 per share, on
impressive Q2 numbers and the prospect of increased spending on infrastructure
development by the government in the coming months.
On the flipside, Okomu Oil led the decliners’ log after dropping 5.00%
to close at N72.25 per share on market forces and profit taking, ahead of
Continental Reinsurance, which lost 4.93% at N1.35 per unit on profit
taking.
TODAY’S OUTLOOK
As trading opens this morning, the market is expected to continue it
mixed reaction to the Q2 numbers released recently, as surprising numbers are
receiving positive reactions, while treating disappointing earnings otherwise,
as interpretation of the umbers in relation to market value continues.
However, investors need not panic if any pullback occurs now due to
profit booking, if they have taken position based on strong numbers and future
prospects of any stock.
Again, we advise that investors allow numbers to guide their decisions
while repositioning for the rest of the year’s trading activities, especially
now that prices of stocks are looking up ahead of the improving economic
fundamentals, if the numbers will support the price reversal or continuation.
It is time to use your technical tools to take decision by knowing the
support and resistant level to reposition or exit any position.
Be reminded once more that industry potential, market timing are very
important when picking a stock, because there are factors that are
sector-specific and would naturally impact positively or negatively on
companies operating within such an industry, especially now that the economy is
recovering. Market is in phases know it in order to manage your trading and
investing risk. For stocks that should be on your shopping
list to buy in this oscillating market or pullbacks sign up to INVESTDATA BUY
AND SELL signal setup by calling 08032055467.
Get your home study pack today and
ride with the current recovery on Nigeria’s stock market and economy.
The workshop video can be viewed on
your phone, laptop and television set. The home study pack costs N20,000
including DHL delivery at your door step.
Payment should be made into Investdata Consulting Ltd, Zenith Bank
1013033032. Afterwards, kindly send payment details to 08032055467.
MR.
OMORDION AMBROSE
CHIEF
RESEARCH OFFICER
INVESTDATA
CONSULTING LIMITED
Tel:
08028164085, 08032055467
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