BEST PERFORMING STOCKS ON EARNINGS REACTION
Looking at
the stock market situation, the year to date oscillating performance revealed
low valuation of equities in a weak economy, especially with the negative
macroeconomic indices that reflects low liquidity, low production output and
high unemployment rate.
Investors are
still worried that the government has not taken a serious step yet to address
the present economy realities, particularly the current economic recession.
With the
coming of the last quarter of the year, one of the expected factors to trigger
the seasonal pattern ahead of year-end is the Q3 earnings season that kicked
off last week with United Capital Plc and Infinity Trust Mortgage Bank
releasing their Q3 numbers to the market.
There is optimism that the current quarter will show better growth than
the previous quarters, despite the ongoing recession, owing to expectations
that government will reflate the economy by introducing stimulus packages
beneficial to players in the real sector as an incentive to encourage serious
economic activities that will boost national output.
The earnings
season is the period when listed companies are expected to release their
score-cards, which is 30 days after the end of a quarter and 90 days after the
end of a financial year.
At the end
of the Q2 earnings season, it may surprise you to noted that of the over 180
listed equities that released their earnings, only 22 recorded three straight
days of positive earnings reaction. The others simply recorded negative
reactions, as their prices decline within the period under consideration, while
some remained unchanged for days.
As revealed
on the table, Conoil ranks first in the
league of the few that recorded positive investor sentiments, recording a huge
27.56% within three days of presenting its earnings report. This goes to
support the argument that investors typically react to impressive numbers, especially
when there is improved payout or when the numbers point to higher possibility
of juicier dividend payment at the end of the day. Eterna Oil ranks second, gaining 14.70%,
followed by Air Service,Total Nigeria Plc and Access Bank.
The table
below shows the stocks that have gained the most on their earnings reaction
days for that season.
SECURITIES
|
Released Date
|
Period
|
3 Days % Chg
|
CONOIL
|
16-Sep-16
|
Q2
|
27.56
|
ETERNA
|
1-Aug-16
|
Q2
|
14.89
|
AIRLINE SERVICES AND LOGISTICS
|
29-Jul-16
|
Q2
|
14.70
|
TOTAL NIGERIA
|
29-Jul-16
|
Q2
|
10.41
|
ACCESS
|
18-Aug-16
|
Q2
|
9.94
|
UNITED CAPITAL
|
13-Jul-16
|
Q2
|
8.57
|
FBNHOLDINGS
|
26-Jul-16
|
Q2
|
8.50
|
PRESCO
|
27-Jul-16
|
Q2
|
7.92
|
CONTINENTAL REINSURANCE
|
28-Jul-16
|
Q2
|
6.67
|
CUSTODIAN & ALLIED INSURANCE
|
22-Jul-16
|
Q2
|
5.26
|
FORTE OIL PLC
|
28-Jul-16
|
Q2
|
5.14
|
GLAXO SMITHKLINE
|
26-Jul-16
|
Q2
|
4.97
|
MRS OIL NIGERIA
|
29-Jul-16
|
Q2
|
4.95
|
TRANS-NATIONWIDE
|
14-Jul-16
|
Q2
|
4.95
|
OANDO
|
1-Aug-16
|
Q2
|
4.51
|
SKYE BANK
|
29-Jul-16
|
FY
|
4.48
|
FCMB GROUP PLC
|
25-Jul-16
|
Q2
|
4.44
|
CAP
|
25-Jul-16
|
Q2
|
4.17
|
GUARANTY
|
17-Aug-16
|
Q2
|
2.60
|
OKOMU OIL PALM
|
28-Jul-16
|
Q2
|
2.18
|
U A C N
|
26-Jul-16
|
Q2
|
1.12
|
NIGERIAN BREWERIES
|
13-Jul-16
|
Q2
|
0.20
|
ECOBANK TRANSNATIONAL INC
|
26-Jul-16
|
Q2
|
-0.54
|
UNITY BANK
|
1-Aug-16
|
Q2
|
-0.98
|
UBA
|
26-Aug-16
|
Q2
|
-1.36
|
STANBIC IBTC HOLDINGS
|
29-Oct-15
|
Q3
|
-1.51
|
NPF MICROFINANCE BANK
|
29-Jul-16
|
Q2
|
-2.20
|
DIAMOND
|
28-Jul-16
|
Q2
|
-2.99
|
FLOUR MILLS
|
28-Jul-16
|
Q1
|
-3.37
|
DANGOTE FLOUR MILLS
|
1-Aug-16
|
Q3
|
-3.69
|
WEMA
|
27-Jul-16
|
Q2
|
-3.90
|
NESTLE NIGERIA
|
29-Jul-16
|
Q2
|
-3.98
|
FIDSON HEALTHCARE
|
25-Jul-16
|
Q2
|
-3.98
|
AXA MANSARD INSURANCE
|
27-Jul-16
|
Q2
|
-4.02
|
ZENITH INT'L PLC
|
12-Aug-16
|
Q2
|
-4.03
|
CUTIX
|
29-Aug-16
|
Q1
|
-4.85
|
CEMENT CO. OF NORTHERN NIG.
|
29-Jul-16
|
Q2
|
-4.86
|
RED STAR EXPRESS PLC
|
29-Jul-16
|
Q1
|
-4.96
|
JULIUS BERGER
|
28-Jul-16
|
Q2
|
-4.99
|
7-UP BOTTLING
|
29-Jul-16
|
Q1
|
-5.00
|
UNION BANK
|
28-Jul-16
|
Q2
|
-5.00
|
SEPLAT
|
29-Jul-17
|
Q2
|
-5.13
|
LAFARGE W A P C O
|
20-Jul-16
|
Q2
|
-5.23
|
DANGOTE CEMENT
|
20-Jul-16
|
Q2
|
-5.53
|
VITAFOAM NIGERIA
|
1-Aug-16
|
Q3
|
-6.35
|
INT'L BREWERIES
|
4-Aug-16
|
Q1
|
-6.48
|
DANGOTE SUGAR
|
29-Jul-16
|
Q2
|
-6.72
|
FIDELITY
|
29-Jul-16
|
Q2
|
-6.72
|
CADBURY NIGERIA
|
20-Jul-16
|
Q2
|
-6.83
|
GUINNESS NIG. PLC
|
20-Sep-16
|
Q4
|
-7.00
|
STERLING BANK
|
28-Jul-16
|
Q2
|
-7.03
|
AFRICA PRUDENTIAL
|
20-Jul-16
|
Q2
|
-7.69
|
LIVESTOCK FEEDS
|
27-Jul-16
|
Q2
|
-8.08
|
UACN PROPERTY DEV. CO.
|
27-Jul-16
|
Q2
|
-8.31
|
NEM INSURANCE
|
27-Jul-16
|
Q2
|
-8.33
|
P Z CUSSONS NIGERIA
|
4-Oct-16
|
Q1
|
-9.95
|
TRANSNATIONAL CORPORATION
|
29-Jul-16
|
Q2
|
-13.14
|
As you would notice on the list, petroleum stocks were the top five
best performing stocks on earnings reaction.
Let the tables above guide you in this period, when another
earnings season beckons, particularly amidst the low prices, owing to low
liquidity and dwindling confidence.
When positioning for expected earnings, set your target so
that when the results finally hit the market, knowing that where it is positive
or negative market will react to it.
It is very important to set target because every investment
is against expectation, if your expectation are not met exit early to cut loss
and protect your capital. It is important that I repeat: Should a result not
meet your expectation, do not over stay, know when to use the exit door quickly
before the bazaar is over.
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1, Outlook of the Economy & Stock Market to
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4, 20 Stars & Outstanding Stocks For Profitable Investments
in the rest of the year and Beyond –
All Rights Reserved © Investdata Nig Ltd 2016
Ambrose Omordion
+2348032055467
Ambrose Omordion
+2348032055467
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